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RL31339
Iraq: U.S. Regime Change Efforts and Post-Saddam Governance
May 16, 2005

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U.S. Department of State
United States Diplomatic Mission to Italy
University of North Texas Libraries

Summary:

Operation Iraqi Freedom accomplished a long-standing U.S. objective, the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, but replacing his regime with a stable, moderate, democratic political structure has been complicated by a persistent Sunni Arab-led insurgency. The Bush Administration asserts that establishing democracy in Iraq will catalyze the promotion of democracy throughout the Middle East. The desired outcome would also likely prevent Iraq from becoming a sanctuary for terrorists, a key recommendation of the 9/11 Commission report. The Bush Administration asserts that U.S. policy in Iraq is now showing substantial success, demonstrated by January 30, 2005 elections that chose a National Assembly, and progress in building Iraq's various security forces. The Administration says it expects that the current transition roadmap -- including votes on a permanent constitution by October 31, 2005 and for a permanent government by December 15, 2005 -- are being implemented. Others believe the insurgency is widespread, as shown by its recent attacks, and that the Iraqi government could not stand on its own were U.S. and allied international forces to withdraw from Iraq. Some U.S. commanders and senior intelligence officials say that some Islamic militants have entered Iraq since Saddam Hussein fell, to fight what they see as a new "jihad" (Islamic war) against the United States. During the 1990s, following the 1991 Gulf war to oust Iraqi forces from Kuwait, U.S. efforts to change Iraq's regime failed because of limited U.S. commitment, disorganization of the Iraqi opposition, and the vigilance of Iraq's overlapping security services. After the September 11, 2001 attacks on the United States, President George W. Bush decided against continuing to contain Iraq, characterizing it as a grave and gathering threat because of its refusal to abandon its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs and its potential to transfer WMD to terrorist groups. After a November 2002-March 2003 round of U.N. WMD inspections in which Iraq's cooperation was mixed, on March 19, 2003, the United States launched Operation Iraqi Freedom to disarm and change Iraq's regime. The regime fell on April 9, 2003. This report will be updated as warranted by major developments. See also CRS Report RS21968, Iraq: Post-Saddam National Elections, CRS Report RS22079, the Kurds in Post-Saddam Iraq; CRS Report RL32783, FY2005 Supplemental Appropriations for Iraq and Afghanistan, Tsunami Relief, and Other Activities; and CRS Report RL31833, Iraq: Recent Developments in Reconstruction Assistance.

 

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